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Israel Defense Forces’ October 7 Intelligence Failure: Preliminary Findings Reveal Missed Warning Signs

IDF Chief Halevi Reviews Classified October 7 Attack Findings in High-Level Briefing

Israel-Hamas Swords of Iron War Herzi Halevi

IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi Holds Security Briefing (Photo IDF)

In a significant development, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff, Lieutenant General Herzi Halevi, has received preliminary findings from the Intelligence Division’s investigation into the October 7 Hamas terror attack. This report, aired by Israel’s Channel 12 News on Tuesday evening, cites “sources familiar” with the Intelligence Directorate probe.

While not the complete inquiry, IDF sources describe these as comprehensive and thorough assessments. A crucial conclusion states: “The warning signs were substantial enough that lesser indications have previously triggered full-scale alerts.”

The news comes as the Israeli public is getting more frustrated with the conduct of the Iron Swords War against Hamas in Gaza and recriminations as to the conduct of Israel’s leaders before and after that day grow. And the IDF has not been immune to allegations of misconduct. For example, there have been reports that a group of hundreds of IDF soldiers were held up for hours before being ordered to go into one of the kibbutzim overrun by Hamas terrorists as people inside were being slaughtered.

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Another allegation hold that the IDF ordered ropes to rescue soldiers in military outposts that had been overrun before taking action in civilian areas.

Chief of Staff Halevy reportedly “emphasized” to the IDF’s senior brass that the investigation will be committed to getting to the truth about what happened and accountable. General Halevi said the investigation will focus on everything that happened going back to Operation “Gatekeepers” which took place in March, 2018, through to a few days after the October 7 Hamas terrorist massacre.

October 7 and the events that preceded it. Starting with the events of Operation “Guardians” in March 2018 until the first three days of the war

A highly confidential hearing in Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi’s office unveiled initial findings on the October 7 attack, focusing on the crucial 24 hours before the incursion. The briefing, held under stringent security measures, examined intelligence sharing and IDF actions on October 6.

The inquiry highlights a critical gap between available information and its interpretation, raising questions about IDF’s intelligence analysis processes and decision-making protocols in the lead-up to October 7.

The investigation into the October 7 attack revealed a unanimous acceptance of presented facts, divergent interpretations among participants as well as a deep frustration within the IDF over missed connections. It also emphasized a failure to synthesize available intelligence before the attack. This highlights a critical gap between information gathering and analysis in IDF’s pre-attack intelligence process. So, Herzi Halevi has his work cut out for him.



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